Mexican energy industry going back to the future under Lopez Obrador

Mexico’s energy industry, long reserved exclusively for state-owned enterprises, began opening up to the private sector following a major reform under President Enrique Peña Nieto (2012 – 2018). During the current administration of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO), however, changes are taking place that suggest a return toward government domination of the industry. AMLO has stated his desire to return state enterprises Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) and the Federal Electricity Commission (CFE) to their former preeminent position in the oil and electricity industries, respectively, and the trends during the first year and a half of his administration appear to be toward shifting the focus of energy production back to fossil fuels and away from solar and wind. The following are examples of some of the changes taking place. Continue reading Mexican energy industry going back to the future under Lopez Obrador

Mexican retail scrambling under COVID-19

Mexico, like most countries, has been hit hard by the COVID-19 global pandemic.  Although the number of confirmed cases in Mexico is still relatively low compared to the United States, the impact of containment measures on the economy has been severe.  With just over one full month of shutdown behind us, financial institutions are already projecting 2020 GDP growth for Mexico in the range of -9% and potentially worse.  Facing this outlook, retailers are scrambling just to stay in business first, and then to plan for an extended period of bleak near to mid-term consumer spending. Continue reading Mexican retail scrambling under COVID-19

No new investment this month

At the start of each month we usually post examples of new investment in Mexican industry, such as announcements of new manufacturing or processing plants and expansion of existing ones. For April 2020, we are disappointed to report that we have no such examples to share, due to the COVID-19 economic shutdown. We imagine that some companies are taking advantage of mandatory plant closures to clean, reorganize or upgrade their facilities, but we have not read about these so we are just going to have to accept our first shutout in the 11 years we have had the privilege of publishing this investment list. As with so many repercussions of COVID-19, you think you’ve seen it all, but it turns out you haven’t.

The media have done an admirable job covering the crisis, but for those of you who don’t follow Mexico closely, here is a very cursory summary of approximately where we are at the start of May 2020: Continue reading No new investment this month