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Recent and upcoming investment in Mexico

COVID-19

Mexico has suffered something of a setback in its emergence from the COVID-19 pandemic over the past month.  On the epidemiological traffic light system, Mexico City had reached green, or mild restrictions, as the beginning of the month only to return to the higher restrictions of the yellow level following the June 6 national elections.  The number of states at the orange or significant restriction level rose from one to five during the month, with reported increases in COVID cases particularly in tourist zones such as the Riviera Maya (Cancun), Yucatan and Baja California.  No PCR test or quarantine is required to enter Mexico for travelers arriving by air.

ECONOMY AND INDUSTRY

  • Same-store retail sales jumped 33.9% in May with respect to the same month last year, the National Retailers Association (ANTAD) reported. The size of the increase is due largely to the plunge in sales in May 2020 resulting from the initial COVID-19 lockdowns. (Reforma, June 11, 2021)
  • Mexico’s central bank Banco de México (Banxico) raised its projection of GDP growth to 6.0% for the current year, up from a previous estimate of 4.8%. The improved outlook is based on advances in COVID-19 vaccination, strong demand for exports and better than expected first quarter growth. (Citibanamex Reporte Económico Diario, June 3, 2021)
  • Remittances to Mexico from abroad through the first four months of the year are running 19.1% ahead of the same period last year, central bank Banco de México (Banxico) reported. Remittances are on track to post their strongest annual growth since 2005. (Milenio, June 1, 2021)

Continue reading Recent and upcoming investment in Mexico

Mexican mid-terms giveth or taketh away for AMLO

Mexican voters will go to the polls June 6, 2021 for what is being widely touted as the largest election in the country’s history.  Citizens will cast ballots for nearly 21,000 public offices including all 500 seats in the federal Chamber of Deputies and 15 of 32 state governorships, among many local elected positions.  Turnout is expected to be higher than usual for a non-presidential election, due to the polarized political atmosphere currently prevailing in the country, and the media are regularly running pieces arguing that the stakes are high for institutional democracy in Mexico. We agree that the institutions underpinning democracy in Mexico, such as it is, are under attack right now to an alarming degree, but we feel that this is most likely a short-term problem.  The larger challenges to Mexico’s development as a nation-state, alas, are more long term.  Here is a brief summary of how we see the situation: Continue reading Mexican mid-terms giveth or taketh away for AMLO

Recent and upcoming investment in Mexico

Information collected from media reports over the last month:

COVID-19

The epidemiological conditions regarding the COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico continue to improve slowly but steadily.  According to the most recent version of the national traffic light system used to indicate the level of alert and restrictions on business activities and mobility, six Mexican states are now at green, or no restrictions, while 20 are at yellow or low restriction.  Mexico City remains at orange, denoting a relatively high rate of alert, however the city appears to be operating fairly normally albeit with widespread mask use and social distancing.  Approximately 10% of Mexicans have received at least one vaccination shot, compared with over 40% in the United States. Continue reading Recent and upcoming investment in Mexico