Category Archives: Politics

Recent and upcoming investment in Mexico

COVID-19

Mexico’s COVID-19 indicators have generally improved over the past month.  The number of new cases per day has declined steadily compared to January, and the national rate of hospital bed occupation is down to 40%.  Bed occupation is higher in the Mexico City area at 60%, however this is an improvement over the peaks of 90% reached in January.  Mexico’s vaccination campaign is gaining speed after a poorly executed launch, however the number of vaccinations administered lags behind the average rate of most developed countries. (Data taken from Citibanamex Monitoreo de COVID-19, February 25, 2021)

ECONOMY AND INDUSTRY

  • Retail sales in Mexico contracted 9.3% in 2020 with respect to the previous year, reaching their lowest level since 2014, according to data from the National Statistics Institute (INEGI). The only subsectors posting positive growth were online and catalog sales (52%) and health-related products (6%). (El Economista, February 25, 2021)
  • Mexico’s construction industry was hit hard by the economic slowdown in 2020, contracting 17.5% on the year, according to data from the National Statistics Institute (INEGI). The drop-off is the steepest for the industry since 1995. (Reforma, February 12, 2021)
  • Remittances from abroad to Mexico represented 3.8% of the country’s GDP in 2020, a record high. The total value of remittances to Mexico grew by over 10% last year with respect to the previous year. (El Economista, February 1, 2021)

Continue reading Recent and upcoming investment in Mexico

Retrograde electricity reform upsetting the neighbors

We have commented before in this space about President López Obrador’s relentless campaign to dismantle the previous administration’s energy sector reform that cleared the way for participation by private companies.  For us, the historic reform was akin to throwing open the door to an attic that had been locked for years with a dead body inside (Pemex, in this case) to finally let in fresh air.  Most of the ham-fisted maneuvers by the president and his enablers in the Mexican Congress have been at least temporarily blocked by legal challenges, including at the Supreme Court level.  Undeterred, Mr. López Obrador (AMLO) launched his latest and most ambitious salvo this past week, ramming through the Chamber of Deputies via fast-track a reform of the current electricity law granting advantages to the state-owned former monopoly Federal Electricity Commission (CFE) at the expense of privately financed electricity generation plants. Continue reading Retrograde electricity reform upsetting the neighbors

Mexican economy showing flickers of life

Mexico has surpassed 104,000 deaths due to COVID-19, the fourth highest total among world nations, and total accumulated cases exceed one million.  The rate of infection remains uneven throughout the country, however five major states including Mexico City are registering an upward trend in the number of cases and are perilously close to returning to the red or highest level on the national epidemiological traffic light system.  A return to red would signify closure of all but essential businesses and other strict restrictions on movement and economic activity.  At the same time, 16 of Mexico’s 32 states are currently at the yellow level, implying relatively minor restrictions, and one state, Campeche, has returned to green or restriction-free status. Continue reading Mexican economy showing flickers of life