Category Archives: Trade

U.S. triggers 90-day waiting period for NAFTA negotiations

Frenemies
Frenemies

On May 18, the Trump administration sent formal notice to the U.S. Congress that it intends to renegotiate the terms of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) between the United States, Mexico and Canada.  The move initiates a 90-day waiting period before actual negotiations may begin, during which business groups can provide their input on the pact and the U.S. negotiating team may draw up its objectives and strategy for the talks with Mexico and Canada.  U.S. President Donald Trump has called NAFTA “the worst deal in history” and “a disaster” and threatened to unilaterally withdraw the United States from the accord, however in recent weeks he has toned down his statements and backed renegotiation rather than withdrawal.  Mexico is strongly in favor of maintaining the NAFTA agreement, and facing the prospect of cancellation of the pact, has embraced the negotiations. Continue reading U.S. triggers 90-day waiting period for NAFTA negotiations

Mexico frantic to diversify export markets for some reason

He loves me, he loves me not
He loves me, he loves me not

Now that the United States is loudly breaking up with Mexico on social, Mexico is suddenly on the prowl for hot rebound trade with other markets.  This is how it looks from here anyway, with Mexican officials popping up all over the media saying some country or other is going to be a big new market for Mexican exports.  The new U.S. administration’s threats to dismantle the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) are currently stoking the flames of economic terror in Mexico, but we all know that Mexico’s dependency on the U.S. export market has been the stuff of economists’ nightmares for decades.  To put it in perspective, the share of Mexico’s annual exports shipped to the USA has not dropped below 79% since some time before 1993, if it ever has.  From 1998 to 2001, the concentration of Mexican exports destined for the U.S. market hovered near a truly bloodcurdling 89%.  So it’s not like we didn’t know we were exposed to risk from overdependence on one market, but after 25 years of trade-loving U.S. governments, we became accustomed to living in denial. Continue reading Mexico frantic to diversify export markets for some reason

South Korea and Mexico eye trade pact as Trump looms

Thanks to BDP Managing Partner José A. Jiménez for contributing the following post

mexico-koreaNow that the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) has been, for all practical purposes, ditched by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, a wait-and-see phase has begun regarding what will happen to U.S. foreign trade policy once Mr. Trump assumes power on January 20, 2017 — particularly his threats to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with Mexico and Canada, and impose prohibitive tariffs on imports from China.  With this backdrop, Mexico and South Korea have pledged to move forward with the trade negotiations begun by the TPP and establish a formal trade agreement between the two countries.

On her visit to Mexico in April 2016, President Park Geun-hye of South Korea and Mexico’s President Enrique Peña Nieto reiterated their support for integration into the then expected TTP and signed a 17-point memorandum of understanding with the aim of strengthening bilateral economic relations.  The cooperation agreements signed cover areas such as clean energy, technology, law enforcement, telemedicine and tourism, among others. The two countries further announced two new lines of credit, one for US$1 billion for electrical infrastructure development and another for US$200 million to finance Mexican suppliers of Korean industries. Continue reading South Korea and Mexico eye trade pact as Trump looms