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Recent and upcoming investment in Mexico

ECONOMY AND INDUSTRY

  • Canadian rail operator Canadian Pacific Railway reached agreement to acquire U.S.-owned carrier Kansas City Southern in a widely reported deal. The acquisition will create the first direct freight railway linking the three members of the USMCA North American free trade zone. (Reuters, September 15, 2021)
  • The Mexican subsidiary of Spanish bank BBVA raised its growth projection for the Mexican construction industry to 9% in 2021. BBVA Mexico’s head economist underscored however that the strong growth comes with respect to the sharp downturn in 2020 and should not be interpreted as full recovery for the sector. (Milenio, September 13, 2021)
  • Mexico became the world’s eighth largest exporter of food and agriculture products in 2020, the World Trade Organization reported. The country’s US$41 billion in agri-food exports were led by products such as beer, avocados, tequila, tomatoes and peppers. (El Economista, September 2, 2021). (La Jornada, August 18, 2021)

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Recent and upcoming investment in Mexico

COVID-19

During July the third wave of COVID-19 infections has accelerated in Mexico and the level of restrictions on mobility and business activities has increased.  One state returned to red, the highest level on the epidemiological traffic light system, and the number of states at the second highest level, orange, jumped from one to five.  The alert level in Mexico City continues to rise, going from green to yellow to orange since early June.  Nonetheless, the Health Ministry (Secretaría de Salud) has expressed reluctance to place strict restrictions on business and mobility in order to allow the economy to function.

ECONOMY AND INDUSTRY

  • Mexico’s exports of auto parts grew by an annualized rate of 22.5% through the first four months of this year, according to Economy Ministry data. Industry analysts cited increased regional content requirements under the new USMCA trade agreement as boosting exports to the United States and Canada. (El Financiero, July 19, 2021)
  • Same-store retail sales in June rose 14.4% with respect to the same month last year, the National Retailers Association (ANTAD) reported. Monthly year-on-year retail sales data continue to reflect the impact of store closings in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. (Citibanamex Reporte Económico Diario, July 13, 2021)
  • In May, a record number of visitors from the United States arrived by air in Mexico, according to the Anahuac Tourism Research Center (Cicotur). The 970,000 air passengers from the U.S. during the month exceeds the number for the same month in 2019, before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. (Reforma, July 6, 2021)

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Recent and upcoming investment in Mexico

COVID-19

Mexico has suffered something of a setback in its emergence from the COVID-19 pandemic over the past month.  On the epidemiological traffic light system, Mexico City had reached green, or mild restrictions, as the beginning of the month only to return to the higher restrictions of the yellow level following the June 6 national elections.  The number of states at the orange or significant restriction level rose from one to five during the month, with reported increases in COVID cases particularly in tourist zones such as the Riviera Maya (Cancun), Yucatan and Baja California.  No PCR test or quarantine is required to enter Mexico for travelers arriving by air.

ECONOMY AND INDUSTRY

  • Same-store retail sales jumped 33.9% in May with respect to the same month last year, the National Retailers Association (ANTAD) reported. The size of the increase is due largely to the plunge in sales in May 2020 resulting from the initial COVID-19 lockdowns. (Reforma, June 11, 2021)
  • Mexico’s central bank Banco de México (Banxico) raised its projection of GDP growth to 6.0% for the current year, up from a previous estimate of 4.8%. The improved outlook is based on advances in COVID-19 vaccination, strong demand for exports and better than expected first quarter growth. (Citibanamex Reporte Económico Diario, June 3, 2021)
  • Remittances to Mexico from abroad through the first four months of the year are running 19.1% ahead of the same period last year, central bank Banco de México (Banxico) reported. Remittances are on track to post their strongest annual growth since 2005. (Milenio, June 1, 2021)

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